Hop acreage continues to increase, market oversupplied
Photo by Andre Klimke on Unsplash
Alpha volumes at highest level ever
At 130,800 tons, the 2021 crop surpassed the 2020 result by seven percent and, with a yield of just over two tons per hectare, was a good average crop. In addition to crop volume, alpha acid is a crucial factor for the beer and hop industries. The alpha volumes in recent years were at their highest levels yet. This applied to both the 2019 and the 2020 crops, and applies once more to crop year 2021. The average alpha acid content of 10.8 percent for all varieties harvested was a new record high. “One significant reason for this is the increase in alpha-rich flavor and aroma varieties in the USA. The proportion of alpha-rich varieties also increased in Germany,” explains Heinrich Meier, author of the Hop Report.
(Explanation: Alpha acid is the most important hop constituent for brewing and is responsible for the bitterness of the beer. Hop growers sell their hops partly on the basis of the alpha volume delivered, and alpha acid is also often a price factor in contracts with breweries.)
Struggling with rising production costs
The fact is: The above-average 2021 crop yields led to further oversupply of the market. The effects of this oversupply are most apparent in the contract markets. Contract offers and enquiries are on the decrease. “Contract durations are becoming shorter due to uncertain expectations. Customers enquiring about contract restructuring and delayed call-offs of hop products already ordered arefurther indications of lower demand and continuing inventory build-up,” explains Peter Hintermeier, Managing Director of BarthHaas.
In addition, the enormous increase in energy prices is placing great strain on hop production and processing. “The hop industry worldwide is struggling with an unprecedented increase in production costs at all stages of the value chain,” says Hintermeier, and warns: “Production cost increases and overproduction are a dangerous combination presenting the hop industry with huge challenges. The global hop industry can only counter excess production by adjusting acreage.” This is urgently necessary if the market is to return toward equilibrium.
From 2013 to 2021, world hop acreage increased by 16,640 hectares (+36 percent). After eight years of growth, world hop acreage in crop year 2022 will be roughly 62,530 hectares and, therefore, approx. 360 hectares lower than in 2021.
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